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Villarrobledo vs Villacanas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villarrobledo host Villacanas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Villarrobledo have averaged 1.09 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Villacanas's 0.94 scored and 0.94 conceded. Past meetings favor Villacanas slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.56) back Villarrobledo to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Villarrobledo
30%
Draws
27%
Villacanas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarrobledo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarrobledo come out ahead of Villacanas on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Villarrobledo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Villarrobledo Clean Sheet 20%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrobledo Villacanas
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 14 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.09 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Villarrobledo
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Villacanas
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Villarrobledo
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Villacanas
1:2
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrobledo vs Villacanas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrobledo 67 / 100
Villacanas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrobledo Villacanas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrobledo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrobledo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Villacanas conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Villarrobledo scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrobledo VS Villacanas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrobledo

(Home)
03 Oct
La Solana
0 : 1
Villarrobledo
27 Sept
Villarrobledo
2 : 0
Noblejas
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Socuellamos
0 : 0
Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 7

Villacanas

(Away)
03 Oct
Villacanas
1 : 2
Toledo
27 Sept
San Clemente
0 : 2
Villacanas
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0
Villacanas
05 Sept
Villacanas
3 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 5 5 0 0 8:2 15
2 Villarrobledo 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
3 Illescas 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Torrijos 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Toledo 5 3 1 1 12:6 10
6 CD Villa 5 3 0 2 6:4 9
7 Marchamalo 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
8 CD Tarancon 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 UD Almansa 5 2 1 2 8:5 7
10 Villacanas 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
11 Noblejas 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
12 San Clemente 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
13 Socuellamos 5 0 4 1 3:5 4
14 La Solana 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
15 Villarrubia 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
16 CD Guadalajara B 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
17 Quintanar del Rey 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
18 Huracan de Balazote 5 0 0 5 4:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)