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Villarrubia vs La Gineta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 game between Villarrubia and La Gineta finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Villarrubia
35%
Draws
16%
La Gineta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarrubia come out ahead of La Gineta on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Villarrubia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 20%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia La Gineta
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Villarrubia
0:1
Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs La Gineta
2:0
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs La Gineta
2:2
Dec 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Villarrubia
1:2
Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Villarrubia
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 32 / 100
La Gineta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia La Gineta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Gineta has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Villarrubia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Villarrubia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
Page 1 of 7

La Gineta

(Away)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)