Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarrubia vs Tomelloso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fernandez C.
89' Event
Pliego Mantero J. R.

AI Match Summary

Villarrubia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarrubia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villarrubia
6%
Draws
4%
Tomelloso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Villarrubia lately — more wins on the board than Tomelloso.
  • Model gives Villarrubia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%
Tomelloso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia Tomelloso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrubia
0:3
Nov 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Tomelloso
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Tomelloso
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrubia
1:2
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Tomelloso vs Villarrubia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pliego Mantero J. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tomelloso Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 95 / 100
Tomelloso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia Tomelloso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomelloso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Villarrubia scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Villarrubia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0
Villarrubia
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2
Marchamalo
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2
Villarrubia
11 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 1
Sonseca
Page 1 of 7

Tomelloso

(Away)
12 May
Tomelloso
1 : 3
Puertollano C.F.
05 May
San Clemente
4 : 0
Tomelloso
01 May
Tomelloso
0 : 2
Albacete B
27 Apr
Marchamalo
0 : 1
Tomelloso
21 Apr
Tomelloso
2 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Conquense342110357:1873
2Cazalegas34178948:3559
3Toledo341610847:2558
4Socuellamos341513648:2858
5Quintanar del Rey34169946:2957
6Puertollano C.F.341511848:3356
7Villarrubia341510936:3155
8CD Tarancon341114938:3147
9Albacete B3412101247:4946
10Azuqueca3410111340:4641
11Villacanas3410111334:3641
12Villarrobledo3410111328:3741
13Marchamalo341091527:3839
14Huracan de Balazote348151135:4739
15La Solana341091534:3939
16Torrijos345131623:4528
17Tomelloso345111824:5526
18San Clemente34472328:6619
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)