Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Villarrubia vs UD Talavera Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2012/2013 game between Villarrubia and UD Talavera finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarrubia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Villarrubia
30%
Draws
31%
UD Talavera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • UD Talavera haven't matched Villarrubia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Villarrubia a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 20%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia UD Talavera
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs UD Talavera
3:0
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
1:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs UD Talavera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 58 / 100
UD Talavera 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia UD Talavera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Talavera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Villarrubia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Villarrubia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Villarrubia

(Home)
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
19 Sept
Villarrubia
0 : 4
Villarrobledo
12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1
Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1
San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0
Huracan de Balazote
Page 1 of 7

UD Talavera

(Away)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toledo 38 24 11 3 74:33 83
2 Conquense 38 21 8 9 58:29 71
3 Azuqueca 38 20 9 9 58:45 69
4 CF Talavera 38 18 13 7 52:31 67
5 Hellin Deportivo 38 18 11 9 45:24 65
6 Villarrobledo 38 17 11 10 63:43 62
7 Alcazar 38 17 9 12 42:40 60
8 CD Puertollano 38 13 14 11 44:31 53
9 Quintanar del Rey 38 13 11 14 54:54 50
10 Albacete B 38 12 13 13 47:45 49
11 Illescas 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
12 UD Almansa 38 13 9 16 43:54 48
13 Manzanares 38 11 15 12 36:40 48
14 Villarrubia 38 11 10 17 39:54 43
15 Madridejos 38 9 14 15 41:52 41
16 Mora CF 38 10 9 19 45:54 39
17 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 8 11 19 37:60 35
18 Marchamalo 38 9 8 21 45:59 35
19 Torrijos 38 6 15 17 29:64 33
20 UD Talavera 38 9 5 24 39:76 32
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)