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Villarrubia vs Villacanas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Gutierrez J.
75'
Cuellar E.

AI Match Summary

Villarrubia host Villacanas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Little to choose between these two on current form. Villarrubia have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Villacanas's 0.38 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Villarrubia have won 2 to Villacanas's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.75, favoring Villarrubia. Villarrubia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Villarrubia
11%
Draws
9%
Villacanas
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Villarrubia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Villarrubia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Villacanas.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Villarrubia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 18 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 68%
Villacanas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villarrubia Villacanas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Villacanas
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Villarrubia
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Villacanas
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villacanas vs Villarrubia
2:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs Villacanas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Villacanas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villarrubia 86 / 100
Villacanas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villarrubia Villacanas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarrubia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Villacanas let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Villarrubia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Villacanas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villarrubia VS Villacanas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puertollano C.F.34228454:2174
2CD Tarancon34227562:2573
3Toledo341911455:1768
4Albacete B341713449:1764
5Manchego Ciudad Real34187952:2961
6Villarrubia341581142:3553
7Villacanas3412121029:2648
8San Clemente3412111136:4447
9CD Guadalajara B3411101330:3743
10Villarrobledo3410131130:3643
11Huracan de Balazote341251733:4541
12Illescas348131321:3237
13Marchamalo341071738:4737
14La Solana348111526:3835
15Azuqueca347131434:3934
16CD Pedroneras347121528:4333
17Sonseca34572228:6922
18Cazalegas34462417:6418