Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaverde San Andres

1 - 2

Ciudad de Madrid

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Ponce D.

23'

Sanchez Fernandez H.

40'

Reina P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ciudad de Madrid in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Madrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Villaverde San Andres

Draws

Ciudad de Madrid

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villaverde San Andres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ciudad de Madrid haven't matched Villaverde San Andres's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Villaverde San Andres's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 68%

Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villaverde San Andres	Ciudad de Madrid
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	12	5
Losses	10	20
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	3
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Ciudad de Madrid vs Villaverde San Andres

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:4

Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaverde San Andres vs Ciudad de Madrid

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Top Goalscorer Reina P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sanchez Fernandez H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaverde San Andres 95 / 100

Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villaverde San Andres Ciudad de Madrid

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Madrid let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ciudad de Madrid's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Villaverde San Andres scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Villaverde San Andres VS Ciudad de Madrid

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 3

75% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atl. Madrid C	34	18	10	6	83:46	64
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50:36	60
3	AD Torrejon	34	17	9	8	57:46	60
4	CD Las Rozas	34	16	8	10	58:42	56
5	Leganes B	34	15	9	10	63:33	54
6	Union Adarve	34	15	8	11	48:42	53
7	CD Mostoles	34	14	9	11	51:45	51
8	San Sebastian Reyes B	34	12	13	9	45:35	49
9	Pozuelo de Alarcon	34	12	12	10	40:33	48
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42:47	46
11	Mexico	34	12	9	13	45:49	45
12	Siello	34	13	5	16	39:45	44
13	Alcorcon B	34	11	11	12	37:34	44
14	Villaverde San Andres	34	10	13	11	32:44	43
15	Carabanchel	34	9	11	14	30:36	38
16	Tres Cantos	34	10	3	21	40:65	33
17	Parla	34	7	6	21	29:66	27
18	Ciudad de Madrid	34	5	7	22	31:76	22