Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019

San Agustin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Villaverde San Andres play San Agustin in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Villaverde San Andres averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. San Agustin averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Villaverde San Andres won 1, San Agustin won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 7, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Villaverde San Andres and 1.06 for San Agustin. This points to a Villaverde San Andres double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Villaverde San Andres

31%

Draws

26%

San Agustin

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Villaverde San Andres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Villaverde San Andres picked up more points recently compared to San Agustin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 22%

San Agustin Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Villaverde San Andres	San Agustin
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	12	9
Losses	11	17
Goals Scored	0.94	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaverde San Andres vs San Agustin

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Nov 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

San Agustin vs Villaverde San Andres

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Villaverde San Andres vs San Agustin

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 0 - 4

0:1

Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

San Agustin vs Villaverde San Andres

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaverde San Andres 43 / 100

San Agustin 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Villaverde San Andres San Agustin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villaverde San Andres or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Villaverde San Andres attacking → ← attacking San Agustin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde San Andres scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

San Agustin let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Villaverde San Andres went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Agustin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 21

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Getafe B	38	25	8	5	58:24	83
2	CD Las Rozas	38	24	7	7	69:34	79
3	Alcobendas	38	21	9	8	49:29	72
4	CD Mostoles	38	21	8	9	41:25	71
5	Villaverde San Andres	38	18	9	11	40:31	63
6	Trival Valderas	38	16	11	11	41:32	59
7	Rayo Vallecano B	38	16	11	11	58:47	59
8	San Fernando de Henares	38	15	13	10	44:37	58
9	Leganes B	38	15	10	13	51:39	55
10	Atletico Pinto	38	14	9	15	41:51	51
11	Santa Ana	38	13	8	17	51:48	47
12	Alcorcon B	38	11	11	16	26:35	44
13	Carabanchel	38	11	11	16	29:37	44
14	RSD Alcala	38	10	14	14	25:31	44
15	Parla	38	11	10	17	39:49	43
16	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	11	7	20	38:52	40
17	Canillas	38	9	12	17	34:52	39
18	Vicalvaro	38	8	10	20	37:58	34
19	San Agustin	38	6	11	21	37:61	29
20	Tres Cantos	38	6	9	23	19:55	27