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Villaviciosa de Odon vs Real Aranjuez

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Villaviciosa de Odon in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villaviciosa de Odon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Villaviciosa de Odon
6%
Draws
4%
Real Aranjuez
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Villaviciosa de Odon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Aranjuez haven't matched Villaviciosa de Odon's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Villaviciosa de Odon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Villaviciosa de Odon Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villaviciosa de Odon Real Aranjuez
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaviciosa de Odon vs Real Aranjuez
1:0
Dec 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Villaviciosa de Odon
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villaviciosa de Odon 85 / 100
Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villaviciosa de Odon Real Aranjuez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Real Aranjuez has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Villaviciosa de Odon scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Real Aranjuez has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Aranjuez
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerta Bonita381913669:4170
2Collado Villalba382231352:3769
3Trival Valderas382081070:4668
4Union Adarve381812851:3366
5Pozuelo de Alarcon3818101052:3364
6Carabanchel381712959:3863
7Parla3817111051:3962
8Rayo Majadahonda3816111162:4559
9AD Colmenar381781367:5059
10Real Aranjuez381491548:5851
11DUX Internacional de Madrid3813101543:5449
12San Fernando de Henares381391643:4948
13Atl. Madrid C381381745:5947
14Mexico3811141345:4647
15Atletico Pinto3811121542:4245
16Alcorcon B3810121631:5042
17Villaviciosa de Odon3810111730:4541
18Colonia Moscardo381082032:5338
19Grinon387112034:7232
20Santa Ana383102530:6619