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Villegas vs UD Logrones B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Muro A.
17' Event
El Aouad A.
40' Event
Sangare M.

AI Match Summary

UD Logrones B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Logrones B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Villegas
20%
Draws
71%
UD Logrones B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Logrones B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • UD Logrones B have won more games recently than Villegas.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on UD Logrones B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD Logrones B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Villegas Clean Sheet 10%
UD Logrones B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Villegas UD Logrones B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 23
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 0
Goals Scored 1.07 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs UD Logrones B
2:5
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Villegas
2:1
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Villegas vs UD Logrones B
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Villegas
7:0
Mar 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
UD Logrones B vs Villegas
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Villegas Compare

Top Goalscorer El Aouad A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sangare M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

UD Logrones B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Muro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Villegas 10 / 100
UD Logrones B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Villegas UD Logrones B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Villegas found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

UD Logrones B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Villegas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Villegas VS UD Logrones B
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Villegas

(Home)
10 May
Comillas CF
1 : 0
Villegas
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Arnedo
2 : 1
Villegas
18 Apr
Villegas
2 : 2
San Marcial
12 Apr
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Villegas
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UD Logrones B

(Away)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
03 May
UD Logrones B
8 : 0
Autol
26 Apr
Berceo
1 : 2
UD Logrones B
19 Apr
Yague
0 : 3
UD Logrones B
12 Apr
UD Logrones B
2 : 0
Oyonesa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)