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Vilniaus Vytis vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kugys E.
31' Event
Gegzna A.
42' Event
Tchamba C.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2020 game between Vilniaus Vytis and Nevezis Kedainiai finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nevezis Kedainiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Vilniaus Vytis
33%
Draws
40%
Nevezis Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nevezis Kedainiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vilniaus Vytis come out ahead of Nevezis Kedainiai on wins alone.
  • Nevezis Kedainiai are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vilniaus Vytis Clean Sheet 10%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilniaus Vytis Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 4 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2020 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:4
Aug 7, 2020 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Vilniaus Vytis
2:3
Sep 21, 2019 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs Nevezis Kedainiai
4:3
May 30, 2019 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Vilniaus Vytis
4:2
Sep 23, 2018 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Vilniaus Vytis
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilniaus Vytis Compare

Top Goalscorer Tchamba C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kugys E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gegzna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilniaus Vytis 26 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilniaus Vytis Nevezis Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilniaus Vytis scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Nevezis Kedainiai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vilniaus Vytis VS Nevezis Kedainiai
0 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 38%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nevezis Kedainiai20153246:1248
2FC Hegelmann20144239:1246
3Jonava20125338:1941
4Dziugas Telsiai20115434:1938
5FA Siauliai20102842:2732
6Dainava Alytus20102828:1932
7Vilniaus Vytis2093835:3827
8FK Panevezys 220631134:4421