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Vilnius FA vs Suduva

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lucky T.
57' Event
Beneta M.
59' Event
Baltrunas Z.

AI Match Summary

Suduva in this Lithuanian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vilnius FA
25%
Draws
35%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Vilnius FA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Suduva lately — more wins on the board than Vilnius FA.
  • Model gives Suduva a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Suduva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Suduva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vilnius FA Clean Sheet 19%
Suduva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vilnius FA Suduva
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 9
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 0 1.73
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Vilnius FA vs Suduva
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vilnius FA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucky T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beneta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vilnius FA 20 / 100
Suduva 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vilnius FA Suduva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suduva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vilnius FA's goal record stands at 0% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Suduva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Suduva has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vilnius FA VS Suduva
0 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vilnius FA

(Home)
28 Apr
Vilnius FA
0 : 1
Riteriai
07 May
Vilnius FA
0 : 4
Suduva

Suduva

(Away)
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
Transinvest
1 : 2
Suduva
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
23 Aug
Suduva
2 : 0
FK Panevezys
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius 4
Pempininkai 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Babrungas 2
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Minija 3
FK Cementininkas 2
Dziugas Telsiai 3
Sirijus 0
Transinvest 5
VGTU Vilkai 0
FC Hegelmann 6
FK Atmosfera 0
Banga 2
Riteriai 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 0
Zalgiris 6
Neptunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Utenis 1
Tauras Taurage 5
Vilnius FA 0
Suduva 4
Kazlu Ruda 1
BE1 NFA 0
Klaipedos FM 2
Jonava 3
Garliava 1
Ekranas 0
Trivartis Vilnius 0
FK Panevezys 13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius 0
FK Babrungas 6
FK Minija 0
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Transinvest 0
FC Hegelmann 1
Banga 0
FA Siauliai 1
Zalgiris 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Tauras Taurage 1
Suduva 3
Kazlu Ruda 1
Jonava 4
Garliava 0
FK Panevezys 3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FC Hegelmann 3
FA Siauliai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Suduva 2
Jonava 1
FK Panevezys 4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Suduva 0
FK Panevezys 2
Final
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 1