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Vimenor vs Barreda Balompie

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ortiz D.
15' Event
Ortiz D.
48' Event
Pascua B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Vimenor and Barreda Balompie finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vimenor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vimenor
15%
Draws
26%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vimenor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vimenor come out ahead of Barreda Balompie on wins alone.
  • Model gives Vimenor a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 20%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vimenor Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 22 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Barreda Balompie
5:4
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Vimenor
0:3
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Barreda Balompie
1:1
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Vimenor
2:1
Feb 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs Barreda Balompie
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vimenor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pascua B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Cos Rico S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Barreda Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vimenor 49 / 100
Barreda Balompie 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vimenor Barreda Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vimenor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Vimenor scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Recent resilience: Vimenor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vimenor VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vimenor

(Home)
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Vimenor
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
Page 1 of 8

Barreda Balompie

(Away)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)