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Vindbjart vs Stabaek 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Svela S.
19' Event
Myklebust L.
39' Event
Bachke C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Vindbjart and Stabaek 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vindbjart
20%
Draws
38%
Stabaek 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vindbjart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Vindbjart carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vindbjart are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 10%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vindbjart Stabaek 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vindbjart vs Stabaek 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Svela S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heggland H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Myklebust L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bachke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vindbjart 40 / 100
Stabaek 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vindbjart Stabaek 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vindbjart's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stabaek 2 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vindbjart stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vindbjart VS Stabaek 2
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%