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Vindbjart vs Stabaek 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Svela S.
19' Event
Myklebust L.
39' Event
Bachke C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Vindbjart and Stabaek 2 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vindbjart
20%
Draws
32%
Stabaek 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vindbjart

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Vindbjart carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vindbjart are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Vindbjart Clean Sheet 68%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vindbjart Stabaek 2
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.61 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vindbjart vs Stabaek 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vindbjart Compare

Top Goalscorer Svela S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heggland H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Myklebust L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bachke C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vindbjart 95 / 100
Stabaek 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vindbjart Stabaek 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vindbjart Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vindbjart's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Stabaek 2 let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vindbjart stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vindbjart VS Stabaek 2
3.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vindbjart

(Home)
30 Aug
Haugesund 2
0 : 4
Vindbjart
22 Aug
Vindbjart
2 : 1
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Vindbjart
6 : 0
Akra
08 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 3
Vindbjart
03 Aug
Vindbjart
2 : 1
Odds BK 2
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Stabaek 2

(Away)
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
25 Jul
Stabaek 2
1 : 1
Viking 2
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