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Vinodol vs Buje

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Vinodol Logo

Vinodol

0 - 2
FT
Buje Logo

Buje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Buje in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Vinodol
15%
Draws
39%
Buje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vinodol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buje lately — more wins on the board than Vinodol.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 68%
Buje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Buje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL West
Buje vs Vinodol
0:1
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Buje
0:2
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL West
Buje vs Vinodol
3:0
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Buje
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 41 / 100
Buje 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Buje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Buje let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vinodol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vinodol VS Buje
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Buje

(Away)
28 May
Crikvenica
2 : 0
Buje
21 May
Buje
0 : 2
Uljanik Pula
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Buje
2 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
30 Apr
Pazinka
0 : 2
Buje
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)