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Vinodol vs Cres

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Vinodol Logo

Vinodol

1 - 0
FT
Cres Logo

Cres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vinodol in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vinodol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vinodol
20%
Draws
40%
Cres
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cres lately — more wins on the board than Vinodol.
  • Model gives Cres a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 17%
Cres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Cres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Cres
1:0
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL West
Cres vs Vinodol
3:2
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Cres
2:1
Sep 29, 2020 3. HNL West
Cres vs Vinodol
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 12 / 100
Cres 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Cres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinodol's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cres conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vinodol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vinodol VS Cres
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Cres

(Away)
28 May
Cres
7 : 1
Naprijed Hreljin
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Cres
3 : 1
Buje
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
30 Apr
Cres
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)