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Vinodol vs Nehaj Senj

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL West game between Vinodol and Nehaj Senj finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Vinodol
20%
Draws
10%
Nehaj Senj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vinodol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Vinodol haven't matched Nehaj Senj's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vinodol a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 16%
Nehaj Senj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Nehaj Senj
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Nehaj Senj
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Vinodol
0:0
May 8, 2021 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Nehaj Senj
0:3
Oct 24, 2020 3. HNL West
Nehaj Senj vs Vinodol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 84 / 100
Nehaj Senj 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Nehaj Senj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nehaj Senj let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Vinodol's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Vinodol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vinodol VS Nehaj Senj
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Nehaj Senj

(Away)
26 Aug
Nehaj Senj
1 : 2
Vukovar 1991
28 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Croatia Dakovo
31 Aug
Nehaj Senj
0 : 4
Primorac Biograd
28 May
Nehaj Senj
1 : 1
Jadran Porec
21 May
Rudar Labin
4 : 1
Nehaj Senj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)