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Vinodol vs Pazinka

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL West
Vinodol Logo

Vinodol

1 - 1
FT
Pazinka Logo

Pazinka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. HNL West matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vinodol
20%
Draws
40%
Pazinka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pazinka have won more games recently than Vinodol.
  • Model gives Vinodol a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vinodol Clean Sheet 18%
Pazinka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinodol Pazinka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Pazinka
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Vinodol
0:2
Mar 13, 2021 3. HNL West
Pazinka vs Vinodol
3:1
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL West
Vinodol vs Pazinka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinodol 67 / 100
Pazinka 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinodol Pazinka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinodol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vinodol scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Pazinka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vinodol stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vinodol VS Pazinka
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinodol

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinodol
0 : 1
Grobnican
28 May
Novigrad
3 : 4
Vinodol
21 May
Vinodol
0 : 1
Crikvenica
14 May
Uljanik Pula
3 : 3
Vinodol
07 May
Vinodol
1 : 0
Cres
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Pazinka

(Away)
08 Aug
Karlovac
1 : 1
Pazinka
28 May
Uljanik Pula
4 : 0
Pazinka
21 May
Pazinka
2 : 1
Cres
14 May
Naprijed Hreljin
0 : 1
Pazinka
07 May
Pazinka
0 : 2
NK Pomorac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crikvenica 26 18 2 6 53:24 56
2 Grobnican 26 16 7 3 66:23 55
3 Jadran Porec 26 16 6 4 59:22 53
4 Pazinka 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
5 Krk 26 12 3 11 40:42 39
6 Uljanik Pula 26 10 7 9 44:32 37
7 Novigrad 26 10 6 10 39:39 36
8 Rudar Labin 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
9 Cres 26 8 5 13 36:44 29
10 Nehaj Senj 26 7 8 11 26:40 29
11 Buje 26 9 2 15 22:36 29
12 NK Pomorac 26 7 5 14 32:62 26
13 Vinodol 26 5 9 12 31:47 24
14 Naprijed Hreljin 26 5 4 17 24:57 19
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)