Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinotinto vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Garcia H.
61' Event
Coime J.
87' Event
Mina B.

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gualaceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vinotinto
30%
Draws
34%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gualaceo lately — more wins on the board than Vinotinto.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vinotinto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto Gualaceo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Gualaceo
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Vinotinto
0:0
Aug 14, 2025 Copa Ecuador
Gualaceo vs Vinotinto
2:1
Sep 18, 2024 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Vinotinto
1:0
Aug 1, 2024 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Gualaceo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Coime J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mina B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 46 / 100
Gualaceo 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Gualaceo has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Vinotinto stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS Gualaceo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 13%
63% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinotinto

(Home)
29 Jul
Vinotinto
0 : 1
San Antonio
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
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Gualaceo

(Away)
29 Jul
Gualaceo
2 : 1
Macara
24 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Gualaceo
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1975723:1726
6San Antonio1959521:2024
7Cumbaya1858519:1623
8LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)