Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinotinto vs Atletico FC

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Frias J.
45' Event
Vargas P.
61' Event
Lugo J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Vinotinto and Atletico FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vinotinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vinotinto
22%
Draws
60%
Atletico FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vinotinto come out ahead of Atletico FC on wins alone.
  • Atletico FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 21%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto Atletico FC
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Atletico FC
3:0
Mar 26, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Vinotinto
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Frias J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atletico FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 20 / 100
Atletico FC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto Atletico FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vinotinto scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Atletico FC has conceded goals in 61% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Vinotinto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS Atletico FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinotinto

(Home)
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
04 Jun
Vinotinto
1 : 1
Cumbaya
Page 1 of 6

Atletico FC

(Away)
16 Jul
Atletico FC
4 : 1
San Antonio
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
03 Jun
Atletico FC
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
2Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
3Atletico FC1779121:1330
4CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7San Antonio1849520:2021
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)