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Vinotinto vs CD Cuenca Juniors

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vinotinto play CD Cuenca Juniors in the Serie B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vinotinto averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. CD Cuenca Juniors averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Vinotinto won 1, CD Cuenca Juniors won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Vinotinto and 1.19 for CD Cuenca Juniors. This points to a CD Cuenca Juniors double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Vinotinto
25%
Draws
40%
CD Cuenca Juniors
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: CD Cuenca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Vinotinto picked up more points recently compared to CD Cuenca Juniors.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 20%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto CD Cuenca Juniors
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs CD Cuenca Juniors
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CD Cuenca Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 36 / 100
CD Cuenca Juniors 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto CD Cuenca Juniors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Cuenca Juniors or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vinotinto attacking → ← attacking CD Cuenca Juniors

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

CD Cuenca Juniors let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vinotinto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Cuenca Juniors lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 42
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nueve de Octubre1686219:1130
2Atletico FC1669117:1227
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1667317:1125
5Vinotinto1665521:1323
6Cumbaya1656519:1621
7San Antonio1648419:1620
8Dep. Santo Domingo1657413:1119
9LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional1604129:271