Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vinotinto vs Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro 2025 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Hernandez E.
46'
Sub
Hernandez E. In: Nardelli G.
Out: Hernandez E.
46'
Sub
Bentaberry B. In: Mancilla Quinones J. L.
Out: Bentaberry B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro 2025 game between Vinotinto and Mushuc Runa finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Vinotinto
22%
Draws
18%
Mushuc Runa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vinotinto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vinotinto a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 20%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vinotinto Mushuc Runa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Liga Pro
Vinotinto vs Mushuc Runa
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Vinotinto
2:1
Jul 13, 2025 Liga Pro
Vinotinto vs Mushuc Runa
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Vinotinto
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vinotinto 58 / 100
Mushuc Runa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vinotinto Mushuc Runa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vinotinto's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mushuc Runa let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vinotinto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vinotinto VS Mushuc Runa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vinotinto

(Home)
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
09 Jun
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Vinotinto
04 Jun
Vinotinto
1 : 1
Cumbaya
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Mushuc Runa

(Away)
14 Jul
Macara
2 : 1
Mushuc Runa
11 Jul
Mushuc Runa
1 : 4
Independiente del Valle
06 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 3
Mushuc Runa
03 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Mushuc Runa
31 May
Mushuc Runa
0 : 0
Aucas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
13Manta369121546:5939
14Mushuc Runa36991842:5536
15Tecnico U.36891931:5433
16Vinotinto36882040:5132
Relegation - Serie B (Main)