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Virton vs Charleroi B Prediction & H2H Stats

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National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Arib G.
57' Event
Mballa Amougou E.
64' Event
Djongambo Apo Y.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between Virton and Charleroi B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Virton
35%
Draws
24%
Charleroi B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Virton come out ahead of Charleroi B on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Virton taking it.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Virton Clean Sheet 20%
Charleroi B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virton Charleroi B
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Charleroi B
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs Virton
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs Virton
1:3
Oct 19, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Virton vs Charleroi B
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 National Division 1
Virton vs Charleroi B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Arib G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mballa Amougou E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Charleroi B Compare

Top Goalscorer Djongambo Apo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virton 85 / 100
Charleroi B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virton Charleroi B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virton's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Charleroi B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Virton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Virton VS Charleroi B
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virton

(Home)
26 Sept
Oostkamp
0 : 3
Virton
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
Page 1 of 6

Charleroi B

(Away)
30 Sept
Charleroi B
0 : 0
Habay La Neuve
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
06 Sept
Charleroi B
2 : 2
Flenu
30 Aug
Charleroi B
1 : 0
Renaissance Mons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tubize-Braine 22 14 5 3 49:20 47
2 Virton 22 14 5 3 61:35 47
3 Renaissance Mons 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Meux 22 10 6 6 38:28 36
5 Habay La Neuve 22 10 6 6 38:35 36
6 Union Rochefortoise 22 9 4 9 33:40 31
7 Charleroi B 22 9 3 10 36:38 30
8 Stockay-Warfusee 22 7 5 10 22:35 26
9 St. Gilloise 2 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Namur 22 4 4 14 30:50 16
11 Crossing Schaerbeek 22 4 4 14 24:44 16
12 St. Liege U23 22 3 6 13 25:47 15
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)