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Virton vs Lierse SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Stade Yvan Georges, Virton
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Match Events

15'
Tchaptchet A.
32'
Perdichizzi P.
45'
Dassy D.

AI Match Summary

The Challenger Pro League game between Virton and Lierse SK finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Virton
30%
Draws
23%
Lierse SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Virton come out ahead of Lierse SK on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Virton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Virton Clean Sheet 20%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virton Lierse SK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Virton vs Lierse SK
3:0
Nov 27, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Virton
2:2
Oct 15, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Virton vs Lierse SK
0:0
Apr 17, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Virton
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Virton vs Lierse SK
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virton Compare

Top Goalscorer Hachem A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virton 85 / 100
Lierse SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virton Lierse SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Virton scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Lierse SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Virton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Virton VS Lierse SK
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virton

(Home)
26 Sept
Oostkamp
0 : 3
Virton
20 Sept
Sporting Lokeren
1 : 1
Virton
12 Sept
Virton
3 : 0
Genk U23
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
21 Aug
Anderlecht U23
0 : 1
Virton
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Lierse SK

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
2 Eupen 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Beerschot VA 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
4 Francs Borains 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
5 Virton 5 3 1 1 8:2 10
6 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
7 Hasselt 6 3 0 3 4:7 9
8 Club Brugge U23 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
9 Genk U23 6 2 1 3 12:14 7
10 RFC Liege 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
11 Gent U23 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
12 Lierse SK 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
13 Patro Eisden 6 1 0 5 7:12 3
14 RFC Seraing 6 0 2 4 6:12 2
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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