Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Bolzano vs AC Belluno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Spencer W.
18' Event
Bounou Y.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between Virtus Bolzano and AC Belluno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Virtus Bolzano
20%
Draws
36%
AC Belluno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Bolzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • AC Belluno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Virtus Bolzano a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 20%
AC Belluno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Bolzano AC Belluno
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs AC Belluno
1:1
Jan 20, 2021 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Virtus Bolzano
2:1
Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs AC Belluno
0:0
Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group C
AC Belluno vs Virtus Bolzano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Bolzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounou Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

AC Belluno Compare

Top Goalscorer Spencer W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Bolzano 58 / 100
AC Belluno 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Bolzano AC Belluno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Bolzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Belluno let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Virtus Bolzano found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (36 games).

Virtus Bolzano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Bolzano VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Bolzano

(Home)
27 Sept
Altavilla
7 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
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AC Belluno

(Away)
20 Jul
Lazio
11 : 0
AC Belluno
12 Jun
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 2
AC Belluno
06 Jun
AC Belluno
0 : 3
Delta Porto Tolle
30 May
Campodarsego
1 : 1
AC Belluno
23 May
AC Belluno
1 : 0
Chions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)