Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Bolzano vs ASC St. Georgen

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virtus Bolzano in this Serie D - Group C 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Bolzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Virtus Bolzano
15%
Draws
34%
ASC St. Georgen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Bolzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASC St. Georgen lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Bolzano.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Bolzano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 20%
ASC St. Georgen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Bolzano ASC St. Georgen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.84 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Virtus Bolzano vs ASC St. Georgen
2:1
Dec 12, 2018 Serie D - Group C
ASC St. Georgen vs Virtus Bolzano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Bolzano 85 / 100
ASC St. Georgen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Bolzano ASC St. Georgen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Bolzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC St. Georgen has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: ASC St. Georgen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Virtus Bolzano found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Virtus Bolzano VS ASC St. Georgen
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 6.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Bolzano

(Home)
20 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Calcio San Dona
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
13 Sept
Virtus Bolzano
2 : 1
Brian Lignano
06 Sept
Clodiense
2 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
Page 1 of 7

ASC St. Georgen

(Away)
28 Jul
Sudtirol
7 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
19 Jul
ASC St. Georgen
0 : 6
Sudtirol
23 Jul
Lecce
6 : 0
ASC St. Georgen
12 May
AC Belluno
1 : 1
ASC St. Georgen
05 May
Este
1 : 2
ASC St. Georgen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arzignano 34 21 7 6 63:35 70
2 Adriese 34 19 11 4 70:37 68
3 Union Feltre 34 17 13 4 51:28 64
4 Campodarsego 34 16 12 6 55:40 60
5 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 10 11 46:43 49
6 Delta Porto Tolle 34 12 13 9 48:42 49
7 Cjarlins Muzane 34 12 10 12 63:55 46
8 Montebelluna 34 12 9 13 37:44 45
9 Este 34 9 14 11 44:47 41
10 Cartigliano 34 9 14 11 37:46 41
11 Chions 34 9 13 12 37:42 40
12 Clodiense 34 9 12 13 41:46 39
13 AC Belluno 34 8 14 12 33:37 38
14 Tamai 34 11 5 18 35:48 38
15 Levico Terme 34 10 7 17 34:47 37
16 ASC St. Georgen 34 10 6 18 30:59 36
17 Calcio San Dona 34 8 11 15 37:40 35
18 Trento 34 5 11 18 28:53 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2018/2019 (Play Offs)