Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023

Cartigliano

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Virtus Bolzano play Cartigliano in the Serie D - Group C 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Virtus Bolzano averaged 0.65 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. Cartigliano averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Virtus Bolzano won 1, Cartigliano won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 15, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Virtus Bolzano and 1.31 for Cartigliano. This points to a Cartigliano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Virtus Bolzano

35%

Draws

42%

Cartigliano

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Virtus Bolzano picked up more points recently compared to Cartigliano.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Virtus Bolzano Clean Sheet 18%

Cartigliano Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Virtus Bolzano	Cartigliano
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	4	10
Draws	10	12
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	0.65	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.71	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group C

Virtus Bolzano vs Cartigliano

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Cartigliano vs Virtus Bolzano

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Cartigliano vs Virtus Bolzano

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Nov 8, 2020 Serie D - Group C

Virtus Bolzano vs Cartigliano

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Jan 20, 2019 Serie D - Group C

Cartigliano vs Virtus Bolzano

Possession: 52% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Bolzano 24 / 100

Cartigliano 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Virtus Bolzano Cartigliano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cartigliano or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Virtus Bolzano attacking → ← attacking Cartigliano

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Bolzano scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Cartigliano let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Virtus Bolzano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cartigliano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 42

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legnago Salus	34	17	9	8	48:26	60
2	Clodiense	34	15	13	6	46:31	58
3	Adriese	34	14	14	6	54:38	56
4	Campodarsego	34	14	12	8	50:40	54
5	Luparense FC	34	13	14	7	49:34	53
6	Virtus Bolzano	34	13	14	7	53:43	53
7	Este	34	13	11	10	47:39	50
8	Cjarlins Muzane	34	11	15	8	38:36	48
9	Caldiero Terme	34	12	12	10	42:41	48
10	Cartigliano	34	11	13	10	47:50	46
11	Mestre	34	12	7	15	46:42	43
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	11	10	13	42:47	43
13	Montecchio Maggiore	34	10	9	15	50:55	39
14	Torviscosa	34	8	12	14	31:46	36
15	Portogruaro	34	9	8	17	36:56	35
16	Villafranca	34	8	10	16	35:46	34
17	Montebelluna	34	8	7	19	35:61	31
18	Levico Terme	34	5	14	15	23:41	29