Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus Castelfranco vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ravenna in this Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Virtus Castelfranco
20%
Draws
45%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ravenna lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Castelfranco.
  • Ravenna are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 20%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Castelfranco Ravenna
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ravenna
1:3
Oct 2, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Virtus Castelfranco
0:0
Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ravenna
1:2
Sep 16, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Virtus Castelfranco
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Castelfranco 24 / 100
Ravenna 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Castelfranco Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Castelfranco found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Virtus Castelfranco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Ravenna conceded in 56% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ravenna
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Castelfranco

(Home)
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3
Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1
Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1
Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3
Sangiovannese
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Ravenna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1
Forli FC
29 Aug
Ravenna
3 : 1
Latina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ravenna 34 17 14 3 52:26 65
2 Imolese 34 18 9 7 60:35 63
3 Delta Porto Tolle 34 17 10 7 57:37 61
4 Lentigione 34 16 10 8 40:31 58
5 Correggese 34 16 8 10 58:48 56
6 Castelvetro 34 15 5 14 60:57 50
7 Scandicci 34 13 7 14 45:55 46
8 Pianese 34 12 10 12 46:48 46
9 Mezzolara 34 11 12 11 44:46 45
10 Rignanese 34 11 11 12 34:35 44
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 11 12 50:48 44
12 Fiorenzuola 34 12 7 15 39:45 43
13 Colligiana 34 10 13 11 46:47 43
14 Adriese 34 11 6 17 46:51 39
15 Ribelle 34 8 15 11 45:46 38
16 Sangiovannese 34 10 7 17 42:51 37
17 Virtus Castelfranco 34 8 9 17 25:41 33
18 Poggibonsi 34 6 4 24 24:66 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)