Sport Picks
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ribelle
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 game between Virtus Castelfranco and Ribelle finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virtus Castelfranco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ribelle haven't matched Virtus Castelfranco's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Castelfranco taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Virtus Castelfranco Clean Sheet 20%
Ribelle Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Castelfranco | Ribelle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 13 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ribelle
1:1
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
0:1
Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:0
Nov 15, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Virtus Castelfranco vs Ribelle
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Ribelle vs Virtus Castelfranco
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Castelfranco 58 / 100
Ribelle 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Castelfranco Ribelle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Castelfranco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Castelfranco found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Ribelle has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Virtus Castelfranco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Castelfranco VS Ribelle
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Castelfranco
(Home) 07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
30 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 3 Virtus Castelfranco
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
0 : 1 Virtus Castelfranco
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 1 Fiorenzuola
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
09 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 3 Sangiovannese
26 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
2 : 2 Castelvetro
05 Mar
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
Ribelle
(Away) 21 May
Adriese
3 : 1 Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1 Ribelle
30 Apr
Ribelle
3 : 3 Ravenna
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
13 Apr
Ribelle
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Adriese
3 : 1 Ribelle
07 May
Scandicci
1 : 1 Ribelle
23 Apr
Virtus Castelfranco
1 : 1 Ribelle
09 Apr
Correggese
3 : 2 Ribelle
26 Mar
Mezzolara
0 : 0 Ribelle
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravenna | 34 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 52:26 | 65 |
| 2 | Imolese | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:35 | 63 |
| 3 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 40:31 | 58 |
| 5 | Correggese | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:48 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelvetro | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 60:57 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:55 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 46:48 | 46 |
| 9 | Mezzolara | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Rignanese | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:35 | 44 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | Colligiana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:47 | 43 |
| 14 | Adriese | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 46:51 | 39 |
| 15 | Ribelle | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 45:46 | 38 |
| 16 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 42:51 | 37 |
| 17 | Virtus Castelfranco | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:41 | 33 |
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 24:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2016/2017 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
