Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
19'
19'
Barone V.
50'
50'
Cabrera I.
84'
84'
Da Silva J.
AI Match Summary
Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Francavilla lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Francavilla.
- Model gives Francavilla a 55% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 16%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Francavilla
2:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Feb 28, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Barone V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cabrera I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 10 / 100
Francavilla 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Francavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Francavilla let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Virtus Francavilla scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Virtus Francavilla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Francavilla
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 2 Fidelis Andria
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 2 Fidelis Andria
29 Mar
Virtus Francavilla
1 : 0 A.C.D. Nardo
15 Mar
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 3
Francavilla
(Away) 03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sarnese
2 : 2 Francavilla
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
02 Apr
Fidelis Andria
0 : 0 Francavilla
22 Mar
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 1 Francavilla
01 Mar
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2 Francavilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
