Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
40'
40'
Fantacci T.
71'
71'
Ahmetaj M.
AI Match Summary
Virtus Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Virtus Francavilla have won more games recently than Manfredonia.
- Model gives Virtus Francavilla a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Manfredonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla
2:5
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia
3:0
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Fantacci T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ahmetaj M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Manfredonia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 46 / 100
Manfredonia 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Manfredonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Francavilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Virtus Francavilla's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Manfredonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Manfredonia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
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27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
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Manfredonia
(Away) 27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2 Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
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27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2 Manfredonia
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1 Manfredonia
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2 Manfredonia
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Manfredonia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
