Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Melfi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 
Match Events
37'
37'
Sub
Marano F. In: Demontis A.
Out: Marano F.
48'
48'
De Vena A.
50'
50'
Sub
Gammone A. In: De Giosa R.
Out: Gammone A.
AI Match Summary
Melfi in this Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melfi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Virtus Francavilla lately — more wins on the board than Melfi.
- Win probability leans Virtus Francavilla's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Virtus Francavilla here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Melfi Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Melfi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Mar 19, 2017 Serie C - Group C
Virtus Francavilla vs Melfi
0:1
Oct 30, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Melfi vs Virtus Francavilla
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53
Melfi Compare
Top Goalscorer De Vena A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 86 / 100
Melfi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Melfi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Francavilla found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
Defensive concern: Melfi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Virtus Francavilla stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: Melfi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Melfi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.29
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 29%
63% Over 2.5 14%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
Page 1 of 4
Melfi
(Away) 04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1 Nocerina
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0 Melfi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 0 Melfi
16 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 0 Melfi
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0 Melfi
28 May
Akragas
1 : 1 Melfi
30 Apr
Foggia
1 : 0 Melfi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Foggia | 38 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 70:29 | 85 |
| 2 | Lecce | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 62:36 | 74 |
| 3 | Matera | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 71:44 | 65 |
| 4 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 65:43 | 64 |
| 5 | Virtus Francavilla | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:45 | 57 |
| 6 | Siracusa | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 57 |
| 7 | Cosenza | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Paganese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 9 | Casertana | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 38:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Fondi | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Catania | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:36 | 47 |
| 12 | Fidelis Andria | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 30:33 | 47 |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 44:54 | 45 |
| 14 | ACR Messina | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 44 |
| 15 | Monopoli | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42:54 | 42 |
| 16 | Akragas | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 30:47 | 39 |
| 17 | Vibonese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 27:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 36:49 | 38 |
| 19 | Melfi | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 38:68 | 34 |
| 20 | Taranto | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 25:49 | 30 |
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Relegation - Lega Pro - Group C 2016/2017 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie B 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Lega Pro - Group A 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
