Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Palmese 1914 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
1'
1'
Malva A.
35'
35'
Visconti G.
78'
78'
Visconti G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H game between Virtus Francavilla and Palmese 1914 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Virtus Francavilla come out ahead of Palmese 1914 on wins alone.
- Model gives Virtus Francavilla a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Palmese 1914 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 19%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Palmese 1914 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Palmese 1914
3:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Virtus Francavilla
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Palmese 1914
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Visconti G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Malva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Palmese 1914 Compare
Top Goalscorer Molina J. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 85 / 100
Palmese 1914 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Palmese 1914
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Francavilla's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Palmese 1914 let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Virtus Francavilla went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Palmese 1914
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
Page 1 of 3
Palmese 1914
(Away) 04 Oct
Palmese 1914
4 : 2 A.C.D. Nardo
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1 Palmese 1914
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4 Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
Juve Stabia
4 : 1 Palmese 1914
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0 Palmese 1914
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
26 Apr
Scafatese
1 : 0 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Bisceglie | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Turris | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Gravina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 10 |
| 9 | Brindisi | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Forio 2014 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 12 | San Felice Gladiator | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 13 | Palmese 1914 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 14 | A.C.D. Nardo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Melfi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Fidelis Andria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Ischia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
