Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Sarnese
Italy
Serie D - Group H Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sarnese haven't matched Virtus Francavilla's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sarnese a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Sarnese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Sarnese Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Virtus Francavilla's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sarnese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Virtus Francavilla stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home)Sarnese
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
