Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Palmisano G.
25'
25'
Morleo S.
27'
27'
Lopez G.
AI Match Summary
Brindisi in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brindisi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Matino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brindisi lately — more wins on the board than Virtus Matino.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 17%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Matino | Brindisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Brindisi
3:4
Jan 23, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Virtus Matino
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Matino Compare
Top Goalscorer Palmisano G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morra C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Brindisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Morleo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lopez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Matino 36 / 100
Brindisi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Matino Brindisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brindisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Brindisi has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.
Brindisi lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Virtus Matino scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Brindisi
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Matino
(Home) 22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4 Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0 Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5 Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3 Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1 Nocerina
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22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4 Brindisi
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5 Bitonto
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1 Nocerina
03 Apr
Virtus Matino
1 : 2 Lavello
26 Mar
Virtus Matino
1 : 1 Casertana
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Brindisi
(Away) 27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2 Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0 Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1 Brindisi
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27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1 Brindisi
27 Apr
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Brindisi
13 Apr
Nocerina
2 : 0 Brindisi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 83:27 | 88 |
| 2 | Francavilla | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 62:44 | 71 |
| 3 | Bitonto | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:40 | 65 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 63:50 | 62 |
| 5 | Nocerina | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 6 | Gravina | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 51:49 | 56 |
| 7 | Casertana | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 56:52 | 55 |
| 8 | Sorrento | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 41:50 | 52 |
| 9 | SS Nola 1925 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 50:58 | 51 |
| 10 | Brindisi | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42:55 | 49 |
| 11 | Molfetta Calcio | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 48:45 | 48 |
| 12 | Mariglianese | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 13 | Casarano | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 37:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Altamura | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:45 | 47 |
| 15 | A.C.D. Nardo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59:67 | 45 |
| 16 | Lavello | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:56 | 45 |
| 17 | Rotonda | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 39:46 | 42 |
| 18 | San Giorgio | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 30:44 | 41 |
| 19 | Bisceglie | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 32:47 | 39 |
| 20 | Virtus Matino | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 36:62 | 30 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)
