Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Passaniti A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Virtus
30%
Draws
29%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Juvenes/Dogana haven't matched Virtus's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Virtus's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Virtus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Virtus have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 36 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Juvenes/Dogana has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Virtus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS Juvenes/Dogana
3 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3
Vardar
Page 1 of 6

Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
06 May
Juvenes/Dogana
0 : 2
Virtus
03 May
Virtus
0 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3