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Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Virtus host San Marino Academy U22 in the Campionato Sammarinese. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. San Marino Academy U22 have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Virtus have conceded 0.78 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Virtus slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.79, favoring Virtus. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Virtus
35%
Draws
12%
San Marino Academy U22
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • San Marino Academy U22 haven't matched Virtus's recent run of results.
  • Virtus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Virtus have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus San Marino Academy U22
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 25 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.25 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Virtus
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22
2:0
Nov 9, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Virtus
1:3
Feb 17, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs San Marino Academy U22
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 85 / 100
San Marino Academy U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus San Marino Academy U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

San Marino Academy U22 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Virtus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS San Marino Academy U22
2.38 Goals Scored 0.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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San Marino Academy U22

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 0
SC Faetano
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1
Cailungo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)