Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus vs SP Domagnano

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Virtus Logo

Virtus

2 - 1
FT
SP Domagnano Logo

SP Domagnano

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Zenoni M.
58' Event
Amati M.
Assist: Santi S.
84' Event
Zenoni M.
Assist: Scappini S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Virtus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Virtus
15%
Draws
46%
SP Domagnano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Virtus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Virtus Clean Sheet 14%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus SP Domagnano
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Virtus
2:1
May 9, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Virtus
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Zenoni M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Amati M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 35 / 100
SP Domagnano 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus SP Domagnano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

SP Domagnano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Virtus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS SP Domagnano
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
16 Jul
Virtus
1 : 0
Dila Gori
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Virtus
Page 1 of 6

SP Domagnano

(Away)
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
16 May
Tre Penne
3 : 1
SP Domagnano
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1
Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3