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Virtus vs SS Murata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. SS Murata have shipped 2.96 goals a game lately, while Virtus have conceded 0.79 and scored 2.26. Head-to-head, Virtus have won 5 to SS Murata's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 9, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.88 - 0.81) back Virtus to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Virtus
15%
Draws
5%
SS Murata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • SS Murata haven't matched Virtus's recent run of results.
  • Virtus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Virtus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Virtus have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus SS Murata
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 23 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 5 25
Goals Scored 2.26 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
SS Murata vs Virtus
0:3
Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SS Murata
4:1
Dec 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Virtus
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs Virtus
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SS Murata
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 85 / 100
SS Murata 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus SS Murata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Virtus scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

SS Murata's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 28 matches.

Virtus has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS SS Murata
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
23 Oct
Juvenes/Dogana
0 : 1
Virtus
11 Oct
Virtus
5 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
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SS Murata

(Away)
24 Oct
SS Murata
2 : 2
SP Domagnano
09 Oct
La Fiorita
3 : 0
SS Murata
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -