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Virtus Verona vs Chievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bane A.
90' Event
Luppi D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Virtus Verona and Chievo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Virtus Verona
30%
Draws
41%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Chievo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chievo a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 14%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus Verona Chievo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Virtus Verona vs Chievo
1:1
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
Chievo vs Virtus Verona
1:2
Jul 22, 2018 Club Friendly
Virtus Verona vs Chievo
0:2
Jul 23, 2016 Club Friendly
Chievo vs Virtus Verona
6:0
Jul 19, 2015 Club Friendly
Chievo vs Virtus Verona
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Verona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus Verona 23 / 100
Chievo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus Verona Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Virtus Verona scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Chievo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Virtus Verona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virtus Verona VS Chievo
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus Verona

(Home)
11 Oct
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Chievo
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Club Milano
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

Chievo

(Away)
11 Oct
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Chievo
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)