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Virunga vs Etoile de Kivu

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2017/2018
Virunga Logo

Virunga

1 - 0
FT
Etoile de Kivu Logo

Etoile de Kivu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2017/2018 game between Virunga and Etoile de Kivu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Virunga
15%
Draws
51%
Etoile de Kivu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile de Kivu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Virunga haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Etoile de Kivu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Virunga Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virunga Etoile de Kivu
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.92 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Virunga
1:0
Nov 12, 2017 Ligue 1
Virunga vs Etoile de Kivu
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virunga 16 / 100
Etoile de Kivu 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virunga Etoile de Kivu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virunga's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Etoile de Kivu let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Virunga went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virunga VS Etoile de Kivu
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Virunga

(Home)
13 Sept
Bazar Brothers
0 : 1
Virunga
27 Feb
AS Maniema
4 : 1
Virunga
18 Feb
Dauphins Noirs
0 : 1
Virunga
14 Feb
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 0
Virunga
14 Feb
Virunga
1 : 2
Muungano
Page 1 of 6

Etoile de Kivu

(Away)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 14 7 5 2 24:12 26
2 Mont Bleu 14 6 4 4 18:15 22
3 Dauphins Noirs 14 6 2 6 12:9 20
4 Virunga 14 6 2 6 16:16 20
5 Muungano 14 6 2 6 15:15 20
6 Bukavu Dawa 14 4 7 3 7:8 19
7 Etoile de Kivu 14 3 5 6 10:15 14
8 Makiso 14 2 5 7 11:23 11
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Motema Pembe 16 13 3 0 28:4 42
2 AS Vita Club 16 11 3 2 28:5 36
3 AC Rangers 16 7 5 4 21:16 26
4 AS Dragons 16 5 6 5 18:19 21
5 Molunge 16 4 5 7 14:19 17
6 RCK 16 4 5 7 13:18 17
7 FC MK Etancheite 16 3 5 8 16:25 14
8 OC Renaissance 16 3 5 8 9:24 14
9 Nord Sport 16 0 7 9 11:28 7
10 Shark XI 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 18 13 4 1 42:5 43
2 St Eloi Lupopo 18 10 3 5 25:17 33
3 Don Bosco 18 8 7 3 16:9 31
4 Sanga Balende 18 8 5 5 21:14 29
5 Groupe Bazano 18 6 5 7 16:21 23
6 Ecofoot Katumbi 18 5 7 6 12:19 22
7 Lubumbashi Sport 18 5 4 9 15:18 19
8 Tshinkunku 18 5 4 9 14:25 19
9 Dibumba 18 2 8 8 12:24 14
10 Ocean Pacifique 18 2 5 11 9:30 11
Promotion - Super Ligue 2017/2018 (Final Stage)