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Vis Nova Giussano vs USD Casatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Manti A.
50' Event
Calmi S.
52' Event
Masini E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Vis Nova Giussano and USD Casatese finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vis Nova Giussano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vis Nova Giussano
20%
Draws
51%
USD Casatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USD Casatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vis Nova Giussano haven't matched USD Casatese's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USD Casatese a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Vis Nova Giussano Clean Sheet 20%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vis Nova Giussano USD Casatese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Vis Nova Giussano
6:2
Dec 18, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs USD Casatese
3:1
May 2, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Vis Nova Giussano
1:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs USD Casatese
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vis Nova Giussano Compare

Top Goalscorer Manti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calmi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Masini E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vis Nova Giussano 10 / 100
USD Casatese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vis Nova Giussano USD Casatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vis Nova Giussano scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

USD Casatese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Vis Nova Giussano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS USD Casatese
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vis Nova Giussano

(Home)
15 May
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Vis Nova Giussano
08 May
Vis Nova Giussano
1 : 0
Ponte San Pietro
01 May
USD Casatese
6 : 2
Vis Nova Giussano
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
23 Apr
Sangiuliano City
1 : 0
Vis Nova Giussano
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USD Casatese

(Away)
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sangiuliano City 38 25 7 6 81:39 82
2 Legnano 38 19 9 10 49:44 66
3 USD Casatese 38 17 13 8 70:44 64
4 Brusaporto 38 18 10 10 62:49 64
5 Folgore Caratese 38 18 9 11 57:46 63
6 Desenzano Calvina 38 17 12 9 65:49 63
7 Breno 38 16 10 12 56:43 58
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 15 13 10 66:56 58
9 Arconatese 38 15 12 11 62:58 57
10 Franciacorta 38 13 13 12 73:80 52
11 Crema 38 12 10 16 44:52 46
12 Castellanzese 38 12 10 16 50:55 46
13 Sona 38 11 12 15 43:56 45
14 Ponte San Pietro 38 10 14 14 54:56 44
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:39 44
16 Villa Valle 38 9 12 17 49:56 39
17 Caravaggio 38 7 16 15 41:62 37
18 Vis Nova Giussano 38 10 5 23 56:77 35
19 Olginatese 38 8 11 19 43:60 35
20 AC Leon 38 8 9 21 50:88 33
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 (Play Out)