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Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vis Pesaro host Grosseto in the Serie C - Group B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Vis Pesaro at 1.03 goals for, 1.8 against; Grosseto at 1.46 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Vis Pesaro slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2022, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 2.13, favoring Grosseto. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vis Pesaro
20%
Draws
58%
Grosseto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grosseto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grosseto lately — more wins on the board than Vis Pesaro.
  • Grosseto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vis Pesaro Grosseto
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto
2:1
Oct 31, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Grosseto vs Vis Pesaro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
Grosseto 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vis Pesaro Grosseto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grosseto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vis Pesaro scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Grosseto conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vis Pesaro stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vis Pesaro VS Grosseto
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vis Pesaro

(Home)
27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1
Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4
Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

Grosseto

(Away)
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4
Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0
Grosseto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)