Sport Picks
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Tonino Benelli, Pesaro 
Match Events
53'
53'
Sub
Canotto L. In: Bacchin L.
Out: Canotto L.
61'
61'
Megelaitis L.
69'
69'
Sub
Bolsius D. In: Lisi F.
Out: Bolsius D.
AI Match Summary
Perugia in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perugia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Perugia have won more games recently than Vis Pesaro.
- Win probability leans Perugia's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 16%
Perugia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
2:2
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia
0:1
Nov 24, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
2:1
Feb 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vis Pesaro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bacchin L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vis Pesaro 28 / 100
Perugia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vis Pesaro Perugia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perugia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perugia let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Vis Pesaro scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Perugia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Vis Pesaro VS Perugia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vis Pesaro
(Home) 21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Benevento
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
Perugia
(Away) 20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1 Pineto
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0 Perugia
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
