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Vision vs Rutsiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Esenu M.
28' Event
Habimana Y.
40' Event
Makola J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Vision and Rutsiro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rutsiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vision
20%
Draws
64%
Rutsiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rutsiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rutsiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Vision Clean Sheet 20%
Rutsiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vision Rutsiro
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.77 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2025 Premier League
Vision vs Rutsiro
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League
Rutsiro vs Vision
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vision Compare

Top Goalscorer Esenu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Rutsiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Habimana Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makola J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vision 32 / 100
Rutsiro 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vision Rutsiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rutsiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rutsiro conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Rutsiro's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Vision scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rutsiro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vision

(Home)
27 May
Vision
0 : 1
Mukura Victory Sports
24 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Vision
18 May
Police
3 : 0
Vision
10 May
Marines
2 : 1
Vision
05 May
Vision
0 : 2
Kigali FC
Page 1 of 6

Rutsiro

(Away)
30 May
Rutsiro
0 : 2
Bugesera
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
17 May
APR
3 : 0
Rutsiro
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Amagaju
06 May
Rutsiro
0 : 0
Musanze
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 20 7 3 46:17 67
2 Rayon Sport 30 18 9 3 43:17 63
3 Kigali FC 30 14 7 9 32:27 49
4 Police 30 11 12 7 38:24 45
5 Mukura Victory Sports 30 10 11 9 23:27 41
6 Bugesera 30 10 10 10 37:30 40
7 Gorilla 30 11 7 12 27:25 40
8 Gasogi United 30 10 10 10 29:29 40
9 Rutsiro 30 9 11 10 30:35 38
10 Kiyovu 30 11 4 15 32:51 37
11 Amagaju 30 10 6 14 29:38 36
12 Etincelles 30 7 13 10 25:27 34
13 Musanze 30 7 13 10 26:31 34
14 Marines 30 9 7 14 37:46 34
15 Muhazi United 30 7 9 14 22:29 30
16 Vision 30 5 6 19 23:46 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)