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Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
0 - 1
05:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Mitsuta M. In: Goke Y.
Out: Mitsuta M.
49'
Yokoyama Y.
53'
Sub
Uejo S. In: Nakajima M.
Out: Uejo S.

AI Match Summary

Cerezo Osaka in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerezo Osaka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vissel Kobe
20%
Draws
28%
Cerezo Osaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerezo Osaka haven't matched Vissel Kobe's recent run of results.
  • Vissel Kobe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 20%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vissel Kobe Cerezo Osaka
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
1:1
May 6, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 85 / 100
Cerezo Osaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vissel Kobe Cerezo Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vissel Kobe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Vissel Kobe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cerezo Osaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Cerezo Osaka
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Cerezo Osaka

(Away)
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)