Sport Picks
Match Events
35'
35'
Nagakura M.
Assist: Sato K.
40'
40'
Osako Y.
49'
49'
Sub
Sakai G. In: Takahashi I.
Out: Sakai G.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Vissel Kobe and FC Tokyo finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Vissel Kobe carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Vissel Kobe taking it.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 15%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vissel Kobe | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 18 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo
0:0
May 10, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe
1:0
Oct 18, 2024 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo
0:2
Mar 9, 2024 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Vissel Kobe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vissel Kobe Compare
Top Goalscorer Osako Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Muto Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
FC Tokyo Compare
Top Goalscorer Nagakura M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vissel Kobe 41 / 100
FC Tokyo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vissel Kobe FC Tokyo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vissel Kobe scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Recent resilience: Vissel Kobe stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
FC Tokyo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Vissel Kobe VS FC Tokyo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Vissel Kobe
(Home) 23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1 Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2 Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Sagan Tosu
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Aug
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Cerezo Osaka
26 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1 Veroskronos Tsuno
Page 1 of 4
FC Tokyo
(Away) 19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0 Kyoto
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
0 : 3 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2 FC Tokyo
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
29 Aug
V-Varen Nagasaki
0 : 3 FC Tokyo
15 Aug
Vissel Kobe
2 : 2 FC Tokyo
30 May
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 2 FC Tokyo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
