Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Thuler M. In: Nduka B.
Out: Thuler M.
28' Event
Osako Y.
45'
Sakai G.

AI Match Summary

Vissel Kobe in this J1 League 2026 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vissel Kobe
15%
Draws
27%
Kashima Antlers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kashima Antlers lately — more wins on the board than Vissel Kobe.
  • Model gives Vissel Kobe a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Kashima Antlers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vissel Kobe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 68%
Kashima Antlers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vissel Kobe Kashima Antlers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 23
Draws 2 1
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.8 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers
2:1
Jun 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe
2:0
May 30, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers
5:0
Oct 17, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Kashima Antlers
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 J1 League
Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vissel Kobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Osako Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Diego
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kashima Antlers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 68 / 100
Kashima Antlers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vissel Kobe Kashima Antlers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vissel Kobe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Vissel Kobe remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Kashima Antlers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Kashima Antlers
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Kashima Antlers

(Away)
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
15 Sept
Kashima Antlers
7 : 1
Newcastle Jets
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Kashima Antlers
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Vissel Kobe 5
Kashima Antlers 2