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Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vissel Kobe host Machida Zelvia in the J1 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Vissel Kobe at 1.71 goals for, 1.32 against; Machida Zelvia at 1.74 for, 0.84 against. Past meetings favor Vissel Kobe slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.25) back Machida Zelvia to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vissel Kobe
15%
Draws
42%
Machida Zelvia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Machida Zelvia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 19%
Machida Zelvia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vissel Kobe Machida Zelvia
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 17 23
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.71 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Emperors Cup
Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia
1:0
Jun 26, 2024 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia
0:0
Apr 13, 2024 J1 League
Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 32 / 100
Machida Zelvia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vissel Kobe Machida Zelvia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vissel Kobe scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vissel Kobe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Machida Zelvia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Machida Zelvia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)
14 Oct
Vissel Kobe
2 : 0
Jeonbuk
09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2
Vissel Kobe
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6

Machida Zelvia

(Away)
15 Oct
Tampines
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
10 Oct
Kyoto
0 : 1
Machida Zelvia
03 Oct
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0
Kyoto
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Tochigi City
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 10 7 2 1 25:6 23
2 FC Tokyo 10 7 2 1 21:8 23
3 Kashiwa Reysol 10 7 0 3 22:17 21
4 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
5 Kashima Antlers 10 6 1 3 21:16 19
6 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
7 Kawasaki Frontale 10 4 4 2 21:16 16
8 Yokohama F. Marinos 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
9 Urawa Reds 10 5 0 5 17:21 15
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
11 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
12 Nagoya Grampus 10 4 0 6 12:16 12
13 Cerezo Osaka 10 3 3 4 9:16 12
14 Mito 10 2 3 5 12:14 9
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
16 Kyoto 10 2 2 6 11:19 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 10 1 4 5 10:18 7
19 Chiba 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
20 Verdy 10 0 4 6 4:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)