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Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Centralnyj Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk play Slavia Mozyr in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vitebsk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.46 conceded. Slavia Mozyr averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Vitebsk won 1, Slavia Mozyr won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Vitebsk and 1.13 for Slavia Mozyr. This points to a Slavia Mozyr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vitebsk
26%
Draws
43%
Slavia Mozyr
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Slavia Mozyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk picked up more points recently compared to Slavia Mozyr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 21%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitebsk Slavia Mozyr
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk
4:0
Aug 9, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Vitebsk
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Slavia Mozyr
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitebsk 32 / 100
Slavia Mozyr 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitebsk Slavia Mozyr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slavia Mozyr or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vitebsk attacking → ← attacking Slavia Mozyr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitebsk scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Slavia Mozyr let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vitebsk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Slavia Mozyr lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk14103126:1233
2ML Vitebsk1494130:1331
3Isloch Minsk1484224:1028
4FC Gomel1474320:1225
5Zhodino1465323:1223
6Dynamo Brest1463520:1421
7Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1456318:1821
8Neman1462615:1420
9FC Minsk1454519:1919
10Vitebsk1445513:1617
11Slavia Mozyr1436513:1815
12FK Baranovici1434714:2613
13Dnepr Mogilev1425711:2011
14Belshina1432913:2611
15BATE141679:179
16Naftan14131010:316