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Vitesse vs AS Douanes

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Wobi, Bobo Dioulasso
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Nikiema K.
76'
Compaore H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Vitesse and AS Douanes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Douanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vitesse
35%
Draws
37%
AS Douanes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Douanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Vitesse and AS Douanes close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Vitesse's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse AS Douanes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Vitesse vs AS Douanes
0:1
Oct 16, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Vitesse
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Vitesse vs AS Douanes
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Vitesse
3:2
May 31, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Vitesse
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikiema K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 42 / 100
AS Douanes 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse AS Douanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Vitesse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AS Douanes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vitesse found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS AS Douanes
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
10 May
Vitesse
0 : 0
Rahimo
03 May
CFFEB
3 : 2
Vitesse
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AS Douanes

(Away)
19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0
AS Douanes
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)